{"id":2833,"date":"2010-09-23T21:06:13","date_gmt":"2010-09-24T01:06:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/?p=2833"},"modified":"2010-09-24T07:43:41","modified_gmt":"2010-09-24T11:43:41","slug":"chaos-theory-the-butterfly-effect-a-ghostly-experience","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/?p=2833","title":{"rendered":"Chaos Theory: the butterfly effect; a ghostly experience"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\">We will explain to you the nature of birds, the birth of the gods,<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">The genealogy of the rivers, the origin of Erebus and Chaos\u2026<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">In the beginning there existed only Chaos\u2026<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>(Aristophanes, Chorus, to you men down there)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>It is time to take a closer look at Chaos Theory itself and to add substance to my early articles.\u00a0 And we begin with the butterfly metaphor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Modern Literature<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ian Stewart in <em><a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.com\/books?id=--YbGx3ApFEC&amp;printsec=frontcover&amp;dq=ian+stewart+does+god+play+dice&amp;source=bl&amp;ots=yTgntd4RVJ&amp;sig=sJ2DzeIOqgF23sHoIdh4N1htRN4&amp;hl=en&amp;ei=g-KbTI6zJoGBlAfcia24Cg&amp;sa=X&amp;oi=book_result&amp;ct=result&amp;resnum=2&amp;ved=0CBkQ6AEwAQ#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Does God Play Dice? The Mathematics of Chaos<\/strong>,<\/a><\/em> described the butterfly effect this way: \u201cThe flapping of a single butterfly&#8217;s wing today produces a tiny change in the state of the atmosphere. Over a period of time, what the atmosphere actually does diverges from what it would have done. So, in a month&#8217;s time, a tornado that would have devastated the Indonesian coast doesn&#8217;t happen. Or maybe one that wasn&#8217;t going to happen, does.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.around.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>James Gleick<\/strong><\/a> who made chaos a bestseller topic in <em>Chaos, Making a New Science,<\/em> began an article he wrote in 2008 this way: \u201cCan a butterfly stirring the air in Beijing today transform storms in New York next month?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The website \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/whatis.techtarget.com\/definition\/0,,sid9_gci759332,00.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>whatis.techtarget.com<\/strong><\/a>\u201d credited the meteorologist <a href=\"https:\/\/web.mit.edu\/newsoffice\/2008\/obit-lorenz-0416.html\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Edward Lorenz<\/strong> <\/a>with the first use of the metaphor.\u00a0 \u00a0\u201cThe <em>butterfly effect<\/em> , first described by Lorenz at the December 1972 meeting of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aaas.org\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>American Association for the Advancement of Science<\/strong><\/a> in Washington, D.C., vividly illustrates the essential idea of chaos theory. In a 1963 paper for the <a href=\"new york academy of sciences\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>New York Academy of Sciences<\/strong><\/a>, Lorenz had quoted an unnamed meteorologist&#8217;s assertion that, if chaos theory were true, a single flap of a single seagull&#8217;s wings would be enough to change the course of all future weather systems on the earth.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mosaicsciencemagazine.org\/index.php?mode=article&amp;pk_author=10&amp;pk_magazine=0\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Arthur Fisher, writing in <\/strong><\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mosaicsciencemagazine.org\/index.php?mode=article&amp;pk_author=10&amp;pk_magazine=0\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>MOSAIC<\/strong><\/a><\/em>, Jan-Feb 1985, in an article \u201cChaos: The Ultimate Asymmetry,\u201d informed us differently about the genesis of the butterfly as a metaphor.\u00a0 His attribution was to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.raybradbury.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Ray Bradbury<\/strong><\/a> who in \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lasalle.edu\/~didio\/courses\/hon462\/hon462_assets\/sound_of_thunder.htm\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>A Sound of Thunder<\/strong><\/a>,\u201d a short story first published in <em>Collier\u2019s<\/em> in 1952, described time travelers going back 60 million years.\u00a0 They were admonished to \u201cstay on the path.\u201d\u00a0 One traveler stepped off the path and \u201cinadvertently tramples a butterfly.\u201d\u00a0 When the travelers return to the year 2055 the \u201cworld is unutterably and irrevocably altered.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The essential point in modern literature is that initial conditions define the future and that those initial conditions cannot be predicted.\u00a0 However, the Chinese long ago extended the notion of initial conditions to be a vision of cosmology and the human condition.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Early Taoism<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N. J. Girardot, Myth <em>and Meaning in Early Taoism: The Theme of Chaos (hun-tun,)<\/em> Berkeley, 1983, addressed an earlier genesis for the butterfly metaphor in chaos.\u00a0 \u201cThe \u201cmeaning\u201d of hun-tun as the mythological and metaphysical principle of chaos embraces\u2026the fundamental question of the meaning of meaning.\u201d\u00a0 \u201cChaos\u2026is not ultimately a negative concept but rather a vision concerning the true order of cosmic and human life.\u201d\u00a0 \u201cAs the true meaning of the inner life-order of nature and man, hun-tun is a condition that is not outside\u2026[the] \u2018Butterfly Way\u2019 of the universe.\u00a0 The Chinese word and symbol for &#8216;butterfly&#8217; \u00a0(hu)\u2026connotes\u2026the mythological story of that gloriously free creature of air, pollen and nectar\u2026that issues forth from the great &#8216;transformation of things&#8217;&#8230;\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Girardot further elaborated in a whimsical reference to Lewis Carroll.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u201c\u2026a hun-tun myth of primordial chaos was certainly present in China\u2026and is a key technical term in all of the early texts.\u00a0 The word \u201chun-tun\u201d in its Taoist use is, above all, an excellent example of what Lewis Carroll\u2019s Humpty Dumpty called a \u201cportmanteau\u201d word&#8212;that is, a word \u201cpacked up\u201d with several meanings.\u00a0 And that leads us to 9-11.<\/p>\n<p><strong>9-11 A Day of Meanings<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Glass and Mackey in <em>From Clocks to Chaos, The Rhythms of Life,<\/em> provide the following explanation useful to our understanding of the chaos of 9-11 as described differently by eye witnesses, participants, researchers, writers and historians. \u00a0All use the word chaos; none define it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAlthough &#8216;chaos&#8217; is often used as a popular synonym for noise, it has developed a technical meaning that is quite different.\u00a0 Technically, chaos refers to randomness or irregularity that arises in a deterministic system\u2026An important aspect of chaos is that there is a sensitive dependence of the dynamics to the initial conditions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The National Airspace System (NAS) was attacked on September 11, 2001.\u00a0 The NAS was, and is, a deterministic system, operated by the Federal Aviation Administration\u2019s (FAA) Air Traffic Control System Command Center (Herndon Center).\u00a0 The system is calibrated to guide thousands of commercial, private, and military aircraft through the nation\u2019s skies from takeoff to landing as determined by flight plans entered into the system.<\/p>\n<p>The NAS is subject to randomness or irregularity on a frequent basis due primarily to weather, the flap of a butterfly\u2019s wings, but also to any other irregularity that may arise, to include airplanes out of communication (NORDO), not transponding the right code, or off course.\u00a0 The NAS knew how to manage such events; one key position at Herndon  Center was \u201cSevere Weather.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Procedures were in place to handle hijackings, something the NAS had not experienced in a decade.\u00a0 Nevertheless, the old paradigm was known to all controllers, comply with hijacker demands and guide the hijacked plane safely to a demanded destination.\u00a0 That might include military escort but at a distance and unknown to the cockpit.<\/p>\n<p>That \u201csensitive dependence of the dynamics to the initial conditions\u201d set the stage for everything that would follow.\u00a0 That dependence was predicated on the understanding that a hijacking would be a singular, non-suicide event. \u00a0<span style=\"font-size: 13.3333px;\">Mohammed Atta changed the paradigm when he announced \u201cwe have some planes.\u201d <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 13.3333px;\">Chaos ensued, not in the attack but in the government\u2019s awareness of the attack.\u00a0 The higher the echelon the more chaos prevailed, to the point that the Secretary of Transportation and the National Command Authority were chasing ghosts,<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13.3333px;\"> <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 13.3333px;\">butterflies if you will.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We will explain to you the nature of birds, the birth of the gods, The genealogy of the rivers, the origin of Erebus and Chaos\u2026 In the beginning there existed only Chaos\u2026 (Aristophanes, Chorus, to you men down there) It is time to take a closer look at Chaos Theory itself and to add substance &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/?p=2833\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Chaos Theory: the butterfly effect; a ghostly experience<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2833","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chaos-theory"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2833","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2833"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2833\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2854,"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2833\/revisions\/2854"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oredigger61.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}